Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.233436 0.269724 0.309606 0.356666 0.410657 0.470643 0.542330
2024-10-13 0.173972 0.220338 0.275919 0.347366 0.436687 0.544597 0.684809
2024-10-20 0.137610 0.189562 0.256978 0.350649 0.477224 0.642116 0.873073
2024-10-27 0.106065 0.158053 0.230689 0.339184 0.496720 0.716707 1.046820
2024-11-03 0.088721 0.142161 0.222088 0.349669 0.547512 0.841826 1.312000
2024-11-10 0.075672 0.129735 0.215871 0.362091 0.603023 0.982903 1.625620
2024-11-17 0.062846 0.114851 0.202796 0.360971 0.636841 1.096062 1.915648
2024-11-24 0.052517 0.101931 0.190308 0.358115 0.666748 1.207149 2.220721
2024-12-01 0.044539 0.091499 0.180035 0.356926 0.698854 1.326488 2.559397
2024-12-08 0.038396 0.083232 0.172080 0.358315 0.735508 1.459156 2.943458
2024-12-15 0.034068 0.077691 0.168280 0.366909 0.787189 1.627478 3.421901
2024-12-22 0.029497 0.070650 0.160065 0.364824 0.816684 1.756610 3.842787
2024-12-29 0.026408 0.066368 0.157125 0.373960 0.872483 1.950159 4.433330
2025-01-05 0.022731 0.059923 0.148181 0.368075 0.894478 2.076345 4.901616
2025-01-12 0.020348 0.056136 0.144673 0.374208 0.945094 2.273454 5.560861
2025-01-19 0.017422 0.050296 0.135077 0.363750 0.954493 2.378614 6.025957
2025-01-26 0.016017 0.048234 0.134589 0.376204 1.022670 2.632874 6.889105
2025-02-02 0.014836 0.046541 0.134744 0.390407 1.097931 2.916340 7.870606
2025-02-09 0.013220 0.043204 0.129790 0.389789 1.133945 3.107155 8.647449
2025-02-16 0.011746 0.039961 0.124463 0.387106 1.163894 3.287131 9.425500
2025-02-23 0.010516 0.037201 0.119997 0.386090 1.198461 3.485032 10.284648
2025-03-02 0.009513 0.034950 0.116631 0.387771 1.241308 3.712626 11.263839
2025-03-09 0.008816 0.033588 0.115781 0.397178 1.309247 4.021996 12.527432